Wednesday, January 2, 2013

70th Golden Globes Predictions


Well, friends, it is that time again. I have done a little bit better than last year in seeing the nominations, but a lot of these I am still working on seeing, and predictions are assumption based.

Here we go:
Will Win
Should Win
Should and Will Win

BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

ARGO

DJANGO UNCHAINED

LIFE OF PI

LINCOLN

ZERO DARK THIRTY

If there two things the Globes love, besides drinking, it is Spielberg and robbing Tarantino. I expect it will happen again here, and pave the way for the same ting to happen at the Oscars.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

JESSICA CHASTAIN, ZERO DARK THIRTY
MARION COTILLARD, RUST AND BONE
HELEN MIRREN, HITCHCOCK
NAOMI WATTS, THE IMPOSSIBLE
RACHEL WEISZ, THE DEEP BLUE SEA

I haven't seen Zero Dark Thirty yet, obviously, but Chastain is getting a ton of praise early on. Helen Mirren is, however, Helen Mirren.


BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
DANIEL DAY-LEWIS, LINCOLN
RICHARD GERE, ARBITRAGE
JOHN HAWKES, THE SESSIONS
JOAQUIN PHOENIX, THE MASTER
DENZEL WASHINGTON, FLIGHT

A lot of people are probably voting Pheonix here, and I wouldn't be surprised if he walks away with it. But let's be honest, ceremonies love it when Day-Lewis emerges from his slumber to make a movie...and deservingly so.


BEST MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL

LES MISERABLES

MOONRISE KINGDOM

SALMON FISHING IN THE YEMEN

SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

Musicals rarely do not win this category, and with a musical-movie as long-awaited as this one, anything else will be surprising. That being said, I found Les Mis (and keep in mind, I am a theatre person) horrible. Miserable is, indeed, an appropriate title. Maybe I'd think differently if I had ever seen the stage show, which I still intend to, but this film was awful. Hooper's direction was surprisingly off for many scenes, and the story itself was weak. (Does anyone know why the students revolted? I cannot find this answer anywhere other than "king sucked".)  Sorry, I know many fans will disagree. But there was nothing impressive about that movie with exception of Anne Hathaway and Sacha Baron Cohen...who, although it was by no means a stretch role for him, was delightful. 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

EMILY BLUNT, SALMON FISHING IN THE YEMEN
JUDI DENCH, THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL
JENNIFER LAWRENCE, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
MAGGIE SMITH, QUARTET
MERYL STREEP, HOPE SPRINGS

I have seen none of these so I shall cast no opinion.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

JACK BLACK, BERNIE
BRADLEY COOPER, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
HUGH JACKMAN, LES MISERABLES
EWAN MCGREGOR, SALMON FISHING IN THE YEMEN
BILL MURRAY, HYDE PARK ON HUDSON

I apply the same Les Mis logic here...however I would really like to see Murray or Black go home with the Globe. I haven't seen either, but both look great and I've heard only great things about both of their performances. Jackman was good in Les Mis, not incredible, but good...so I won't be upset.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

BRAVE

FRANKENWEENIE

HOTEL TRANSYLVANIA

RISE OF THE GUARDIANS

WRECK-IT RALPH

Most unfortunately, I haven't seen this one either. But from everything I've heard and know about it...it seems to be the only option.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
AMOUR (AUSTRIA)

A ROYAL AFFAIR (DENMARK) (En kongelig affære)

THE INTOUCHABLES (FRANCE) (Les Intouchables)

KON-TIKI (NORWAY/UK/DENMARK)

RUST AND BONE (FRANCE) (De rouille et d’os)

Seen none, choose none.


BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

AMY ADAMS, THE MASTER
SALLY FIELD, LINCOLN
ANNE HATHAWAY, LES MISERABLES
HELEN HUNT, THE SESSIONS
NICOLE KIDMAN, THE PAPERBOY

One of the few shining lights about this movie for me. I hope she gets it.







BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

ALAN ARKIN, ARGO
LEONARDO DICAPRIO, DJANGO UNCHAINED
PHILIP SEYMOUR HOFFMAN, THE MASTER
TOMMY LEE JONES, LINCOLN
CHRISTOPH WALTZ, DJANGO UNCHAINED

Please...please let's pave the way for Oscar on this. Leo has never won an Oscar, and only one Golden Globe...and he absolutely cannot be robbed for Django. He once again proved himself to be one of the most versatile and original thinking actors in Hollywood in his first villainous role. GIVE IT TO HIM. 

BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE


BEN AFFLECK, ARGO
KATHRYN BIGELOW, ZERO DARK THIRTY
ANG LEE, LIFE OF PI
STEVEN SPIELBERG, LINCOLN
QUENTIN TARANTINO, DJANGO UNCHAINED

I usually don't separate Director from Picture (and neither do they) but I'm making an exception. Either way Quentin deserves it, but at this point I expect robbery. 

BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE

MARK BOAL, ZERO DARK THIRTY
TONY KUSHNER, LINCOLN
DAVID O. RUSSELL, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
QUENTIN TARANTINO, DJANGO UNCHAINED
CHRIS TERRIO, ARGO

Kushner is Kushner and that name tends to win awards. Tarantino, however has the original script, he is not adapting another one. I have to give it to him.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – MOTION PICTURE

MYCHAEL DANNA, LIFE OF PI
ALEXANDRE DESPLAT, ARGO
DARIO MARIANELLI, ANNA KARENINA
TOM TYKWER, JOHNNY KLIMEK, REINHOLD HEIL, CLOUD ATLAS
JOHN WILLIAMS, LINCOLN
Seen none, choose none.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG – MOTION PICTURE

FOR YOU, ACT OF VALOR

NOT RUNNING ANYMORE, STAND UP GUYS

SAFE & SOUND, THE HUNGER GAMES

SKYFALL, SKYFALL

SUDDENLY, LES MISERABLES

For the first time since GoldenEye there is a great Bond theme. Hope Adele walks away with it.

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

BREAKING BAD

BOARDWALK EMPIRE

DOWNTON ABBEY

HOMELAND

THE NEWSROOM

These are all deserving shows, but Homeland seems to dominate the headlines. I, myself, have not seen Homeland, but feel it will be the victor. Of all the others, though, Bad is best.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

CONNIE BRITTON, NASHVILLE
GLENN CLOSE, DAMAGES
CLAIRE DANES, HOMELAND
MICHELLE DOCKERY, DOWNTON ABBEY: SEASON 2
JULIANNA MARGULIES, THE GOOD WIFE

Cut and dry for this one. No other thoughts or explanation. Guess this is the part of the list where I start getting lazy.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

STEVE BUSCEMI, BOARDWALK EMPIRE
BRYAN CRANSTON, BREAKING BAD
JEFF DANIELS, THE NEWSROOM
JON HAMM, MAD MEN
DAMIAN LEWIS, HOMELAND

Cranston continues to prove his abilities on screen. I know it seems like he wins everything...but he deserves to.

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
THE BIG BANG THEORY, CBS

EPISODES, SHOWTIME

GIRLS, HBO

MODERN FAMILY, ABC

SMASH, NBC

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

ZOOEY DESCHANEL, NEW GIRL
JULIA LOUIS-DREYFUS, VEEP
LENA DUNHAM, GIRLS
TINA FEY, 30 ROCK
AMY POEHLER, PARKS AND RECREATION

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

ALEC BALDWIN, 30 ROCK
DON CHEADLE, HOUSE OF LIES
LOUIS C.K., LOUIE
MATT LEBLANC, EPISODES
JIM PARSONS, THE BIG BANG THEORY

Louis certainly deserves it...but I have a feeling he will be robbed.

BEST MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION


GAME CHANGE, HBO

THE GIRL, HBO

HATFIELDS &; MCCOYS, HISTORY

THE HOUR, BBC AMERICA

POLITICAL ANIMALS, USA NETWORK

The Biggest robbery of Emmys will most likely strike again here. Hatfields and McCoys should be a slam dunk. I fear it isn't. That being said...

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

NICOLE KIDMAN, HEMINGWAY & GELLHORN
JESSICA LANGE, AMERICAN HORROR STORY: ASYLUM
SIENNA MILLER, THE GIRL
JULIANNE MOORE, GAME CHANGE
SIGOURNEY WEAVER, POLITICAL ANIMALS

She's unstoppable.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

KEVIN COSTNER, HATFIELDS & MCCOYS
BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH, SHERLOCK (MASTERPIECE)
WOODY HARRELSON, GAME CHANGE
TOBY JONES, THE GIRL
CLIVE OWEN, HEMINGWAY; GELLHORN

Cumberbatch is having quite the year, and I wouldn't be shocked if it is punctuated with a globe. That being said, Costner was in rare form and has earned the Globe.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

HAYDEN PANETTIERE, NASHVILLE
ARCHIE PANJABI, THE GOOD WIFE
SARAH PAULSON, GAME CHANGE
MAGGIE SMITH, DOWNTON ABBEY: SEASON 2
SOFIA VERGARA, MODERN FAMILY

Pretty simple.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

MAX GREENFIELD, NEW GIRL
ED HARRIS, GAME CHANGE
DANNY HUSTON, MAGIC CITY
MANDY PATINKIN, HOMELAND
ERIC STONESTREET, MODERN FAMILY

I'd also be happy to see Patinkin take it home.

That's what I got for ya. Let the arguments begin.